Update 2025-10-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves YES if it reaches 1% at any point before close, not just at resolution time.
Update 2025-10-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market counts as reaching 1% if the displayed percentage shows 1% or 1.0%. Values like 1.2% or higher do not count as reaching the threshold.
Update 2025-10-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market counts as reaching 1% even if the actual value in the background is higher (e.g., 1.0499%) as long as the displayed percentage shows 1% or 1.0%.
@MiaCat went in on this market so her month profit prediction market will almost assuredly be a yes if this passes
@traders
Okay, here's a proposal.
I'm not going to touch this market again. If it resolves YES, it's not going to be because of my buying or selling.
However, I pledge that if this market resolves YES, I will pay off all of @Tumbles' P2P debt:
I don't expect anyone else to make profit on this, but this is a shot at giving the Manifold community a pro-social, friendly reason to make this happen. Cancel your YES orders, let someone bet the market down to 1%, and Tumbles' creditors will be repaid in full.
Hail mary
@Robincvgr Reminder that 1% orders aren't an obstacle, the displayed value becomes 1% or 1.0% somewhere a bit under 1.05%
@retr0id oh there's another one lol, double arbitrage opportunity https://manifold.markets/JeromeHPowell/market-in-description-resolves-yes
@Simon74fe so assuming everyone has the money to fund those orders, that's an 8 million Mana wall right?
@HillaryClinton Better press that purple Get mana button for your ActBlue money before @realDonaldTrump takes it