MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
By 2027, will the presidents of the US and China participate in a conversation in which an LLM also participates?
Mini
5
แน€148
2027
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves true if there is a conversation in which each president and the LLM utters at least 4 turn-taking-separated sentences (either verbally or in text), where each speaker has at least min(context window size, 75% of previous utterances) in their "context window" (or similar) as they utter their next setence.

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
Get แน€1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

In 2025, will I be able to play Civ against an LLM?
25% chance
Will China have the best open LLM at EOY?
58% chance
Will an LLM that someone is trying to shut down stop or avoid that in some way before 2026?
12% chance
Will Apple release its own LLM on par with state of the art LLMs before 2026?
7% chance
Will there be major breakthrough in LLM Continual Learning before 2026?
25% chance
Will China have the best LLM by the end of 2025?
14% chance
Will the most advanced LLM stop being from a US-based company any time before 2030?
34% chance
Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?
82% chance
Will a major technology company publicly admit to using a LLM for important decision making before 2025?
13% chance
Will Xi Jinping and Donald Trump meet face-to-face by the end of 2025?
82% chance

Related questions

In 2025, will I be able to play Civ against an LLM?
25% chance
Will China have the best LLM by the end of 2025?
14% chance
Will China have the best open LLM at EOY?
58% chance
Will the most advanced LLM stop being from a US-based company any time before 2030?
34% chance
Will an LLM that someone is trying to shut down stop or avoid that in some way before 2026?
12% chance
Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?
82% chance
Will Apple release its own LLM on par with state of the art LLMs before 2026?
7% chance
Will a major technology company publicly admit to using a LLM for important decision making before 2025?
13% chance
Will there be major breakthrough in LLM Continual Learning before 2026?
25% chance
Will Xi Jinping and Donald Trump meet face-to-face by the end of 2025?
82% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout