Will USAID cease to exist as a government agency within 3 months of the Trump administration?
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Apr 21
13%
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Resolves by April 20, 2025 on news reports from at least one of:

• ABC

• CBS

• NBC

• PBS

• NPR

• CNN

• Fox

• MSNBC

• Associated Press

• New York Times

• Washington Examiner

• Wall Street Journal

• New York Post

• USA Today

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bought Ṁ500 NO

It's still an agency and I don't see as likely to change in the next week and a half. There's a July 1st target, but that's way after April.

Arb https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/-will-usaid-be-dismantled-by-fy-202?r=Tmljb01hY2g

How does "not technically ceases to exist but gets cut down to the point where it's not operational" will resolve? Seems to be the most likely at the moment.

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