What will be the outcome of the linked market on race and intelligence? | Manifold

What will be the outcome of the linked market on race and intelligence?

Mini

8

Ṁ112

2030

1D

1W

1M

ALL

36%

Resolved in 2030 with no controversy (lol)

19%

Resolved in 2030 with significant controversy

13%

Resolved prematurely before 2030

27%

Never resolved or resolved after the end of 2030

5%

Deleted by moderators

Close date updated to 2029-12-31 11:59 pm

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By our policy just posted, it would be at most unlisted. If we end up deleting it, I will consider that a personal failing. Manifold must be pluralistic.

Another derived market:

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Related questions

If a definitive genetic study of race and intelligence gets performed, what will the W/B genetic g difference be?

Is there a genetic contribution of at least 50% to the black/white IQ gap in 2023? [Resolves to the popular consensus in 2060]

In 2030, will Wikipedia's article on Race and Intelligence still falsely claim the existence of a scientific consensus for 0% genetic causation?

Will race realism/scientific racism be proven true by 2050

If we survive artificial general intelligence, will Isaac King's market resolve to "none of the above" or similar?