Will Scott Alexander state that Vitor has paid him for winning their AI image bet this year?
14
Ṁ479
2026
40%
chance

Scott Alexander won his $100 bet about AI image generation, detailed in the article below:

https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/now-i-really-won-that-ai-bet

Will Scott state that he has been paid $100 by Vitor before 2026? Alternately, if Scott states that Vitor pays the money to a mutually agreed upon third party (e.g. a charity) this also counts.

The acknowledgment could be anywhere public, on the blog, on Twitter, on a podcast, a Manifold comment, etc.

AIScott AlexanderAI Image GenerationAI Image Generation Testing
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Vitor stated that he conceded the bet. Scott linked to this concession, but neither of them mentioned the money. So Scott may well get paid but not mention it

bought Ṁ20 NO

If Vitor pays a charity of Scott's choice, does that count as Vitor paying Scott?

edit: I should have read the description first

nevermind, I can't read

@Wott Still has to be acknowledged by Scott, not just stated by Vitor

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