Manifest X is coming to DC on November 8th. Tickets available at: https://manifestxdc.github.io/

But will we sell all the tickets? We have a hard cap of 60 people in the venue, will that constraint bind?

There is some wiggle room with free tickets for our generous sponsors: Manifold and Manifund, invited speakers, and volunteers. Speakers that stay only for their own talks wouldn't count towards the cap, so we may end up with more than 60 people registered. To make this less gameable, a yes resolution requires:

• At least 60 registered attendees.

• At least 40 paid tickets sold.

• Anytime after Friday, October 24th.

We plan to sell 45 tickets, and limit comps to 15, but plans may change based on demand. This market will resolve "yes" if we hit both criteria anytime after the refund request date of Friday, October 24th.

Status:

• As of September 22nd, we've sold 11 tickets, comped 8, and expect to comp an additional 6 for speakers and volunteers.

• As of evening of September 23rd, we've sold 22 tickets, comped 9, and expect to comp an additional 5 for speakers and volunteers.

• As of afternoon of September 24th, we've sold 45 tickets, comped 9, and expect to comp an additional 6 for speakers and volunteers. This will change, some people with paid tickets want to volunteer, we may not use all reserved speaker tickets, etc. But the overall story puts us near or at capacity.

  • We sold more tickets in under a day than we had in the previous five. Not sure what happened, but that "X tickets left" ticker on each tier on Luma sure seemed to have an effect.

• We are now shifting to a wait-list model. Things look very good for selling out, but we did promise refunds until October 24, so won't resolve until that date passes.