Will any independent or third-party candidate (other than Sanders or King) be elected to the Senate in 2024?
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Dec 1
1.2%
chance

Will any candidate who isn't affiliated with the Democratic or Republican parties win a U.S. Senate race in 2024, aside from Bernie Sanders and Angus King (both of whom are technically independents, but can be considered Democrats for all intents and purposes)? Yes, Kyrsten Sinema counts.

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I assume people are betting on Sinema here? I certainly wouldn't, though.

The Rationalussy Party will win a seat.

predicts YES