Universal Death Market - Which public figures will die before 2025? [Unlinked Free Response]
320
αΉ€160k
Jan 2
99%
James Earl Jones (93)
50%
Jimmy Carter (99)
39%
Eva Marie Saint
38%
Dick Van Dyke (98)
37%
Noam Chomsky (95)
25%
David Attenborough (97)
24%
Mel Brooks (97)
24%
Jean-Marie Le Pen
23%
Sonny Rollins
22%
Christopher Lloyd
21%
TSwift's cat (Benjamin Button) (from the 2023 POTY cover)
21%
Chuck Grassley
21%
Mahmoud Abbas
20%
Charles Koch
19%
Clint Eastwood
19%
Bruce Willis
18%
Sylvester Stallone
17%
Mick Jagger
17%
King Charles III
16%
Rupert Murdoch

Feel free to submit the names of any living public figures you think people would be interested in knowing the odds of survival for. Any duplicates or non-public-figures will be N/A-ed. If someone on this list has died, I will resolve their name to YES. At the end of 2024, all remaining names will resolve to NO.

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ohh - rest in peace, queen 🧑

bought αΉ€100 Answer #2080e55698be NO

Maybe add:

Princes Beatrix, former queen of The Netherlands (86)

sold αΉ€0 Answer #166beb658fc1 NO

@Joshua Ismail Haniyeh and Mohammed Deif are confirmed dead at this point though multiple outlets

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RIP Bob 🫑 🧑

πŸ‘€

Oh wow first time I've seen Wikipedia jump the gun on a "was"

πŸ˜πŸ”«

sold αΉ€59 Noam Chomsky (95) NO

We've been Noam-ed

bought αΉ€500 Jimmy Carter (99) YES

I mean honestly, he's 95 and had a massive stroke. It's not looking good for making it through 2024.

Noam Chomsky (95)
bought αΉ€2,881 Noam Chomsky (95) YES

Misresolve? Seems to have been changed back

Ugh

An article said he died and then changed its title and removed mentions of his death

I literally waited for the Wikipedia update because other sources are full of shit lol rip2me

Jimmy Carter is a tank wrapped in a decent man's clothes. He just reached 99 and 2/3 yrs old! 17 days away from his 100 day countdown to 100.

Jimmy gang stays winning

Please consider adding Willie Nelson after the next cull. He has even self-memed about it β€œThe Internet said I had passed away”

https://youtu.be/J34esa_aJxc?feature=shared

I'm not sure why some of these entries were N/A-ed - Steven Spielberg, for example.

@ZaneMiller Manifold changed the rules about how many options could be in a market and people had added a bunch of options taking up space that I thought made the market worse

bought αΉ€1,000 Answer #3786947a2f3f YES

to the moon buddy 🫑

@Joshua ☝️

@Joshua she was 126! time to head off to that big blockchain in the sky πŸš€