Universal Death Market - Which public figures will die before 2025? [Unlinked Free Response]
320
αΉ160kJan 2
1D
1W
1M
ALL
99%
James Earl Jones (93)
50%
Jimmy Carter (99)
39%
Eva Marie Saint
38%
Dick Van Dyke (98)
37%
Noam Chomsky (95)
25%
David Attenborough (97)
24%
Mel Brooks (97)
24%
Jean-Marie Le Pen
23%
Sonny Rollins
22%
Christopher Lloyd
21%
TSwift's cat (Benjamin Button) (from the 2023 POTY cover)
21%
Chuck Grassley
21%
Mahmoud Abbas
20%
Charles Koch
19%
Clint Eastwood
19%
Bruce Willis
18%
Sylvester Stallone
17%
Mick Jagger
17%
King Charles III
16%
Rupert Murdoch
Feel free to submit the names of any living public figures you think people would be interested in knowing the odds of survival for. Any duplicates or non-public-figures will be N/A-ed. If someone on this list has died, I will resolve their name to YES. At the end of 2024, all remaining names will resolve to NO.
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@Joshua Ismail Haniyeh and Mohammed Deif are confirmed dead at this point though multiple outlets
Noam Chomsky (95)
Please consider adding Willie Nelson after the next cull. He has even self-memed about it βThe Internet said I had passed awayβ
@ZaneMiller Manifold changed the rules about how many options could be in a market and people had added a bunch of options taking up space that I thought made the market worse
bought αΉ1,000 Answer #3786947a2f3f YES
to the moon buddy π«‘
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