Donald Trump's favorability rating 50% or higher on Jan 20th?
Plus
14
αΉ2245Jan 20
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market source will be the Favorable number reported by FiveThirtyEight's favorability polling average on January 20th: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/
Note that the latest number available in the morning on January 20th will be used, regardless of the date shown on the chart.
Get αΉ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Within 6 months of Trump being convicted of any crime, will his favorability drop below 35%?
31% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
40% chance
What will be Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans at the beginning of 2025? [resolves to percentage]
64% chance
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
35% chance
Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 70% before his death?
47% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
22% chance
Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 50% before his death?
29% chance
Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 60% before his death?
36% chance
At the end of November will Joe Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight?
8% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
9% chance