If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
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Plus
32
Ṁ2678
2026
10%
chance

Resolves according to 538 polling data about Trump's approval rating if he is elected, otherwise, resolves N/A.

If his approval rating is exactly 50%, resolves as 50%.

The current president's rating, Joe Biden's, can be found at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

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bought Ṁ250 NO

Are you planning to resolve based on another tracker (e.g. Silver Bulletin, which is billed as a direct successor to fivethirtyeight) now that fivethirtyeight is gone and not tracking anything anymore?

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