Market will resolve to YES if 44.2% or higher of Americans approve of Donald Trump's performance dated September 1st, 2025 on Nate Silver's approval tracker located here at Silver Bulletin: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin
Notes:
Data will be checked within 24 hours after market close.
If the approval dips below 44.2% at some point, but rises back above by September 1st, the market will still resolve to YES.
In the unlikely event that the Silver Bulletin tracker is no longer available or updated, the RCP tracker here will be used as a substitute: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating
44.2% was Trump's approval at close of the previous market. Instead of making up a number out of my ass each month, I think it may be more interesting to simply use the previous market's close rating, so this market can act as 'higher or lower than the previous month'.