MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will an EscaPADE Spacecraft reach Mars?
Mini
12
แน€354
Dec 24
69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves true if a single EscaPADE spacecraft reaches a highly elliptical orbit around Mars, as reported by NASA. Resolves false otherwise. A flyby where the spacecraft does not achieve orbit around Mars does not count.

https://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/nmc/spacecraft/display.action?id=ESCAPADE

๏ธ TechnologySpaceSpace explorationBlue OriginNew Glenn
Get แน€1,000 play money
2 Comments
Sort by:

How will this resolve if the mission does not launch?

@miles NO

Related questions

Will I beat SpaceX Starship to mars?
60% chance
Will the Martian Moons eXploration probe (MMX) reach Mars and be functional?
75% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2040?
77% chance
Will SpaceX successfully land a crewed mission on Mars by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2040?
61% chance
How many spacecraft will successfully make it to Mars during the 2028-29 Hohmann Transfer window?
Will Starship reach Mars by 2028?
8% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?
47% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2040?
46% chance
Will SpaceX successfully conduct a crewed mission to Mars before 2035?
25% chance

Related questions

Will I beat SpaceX Starship to mars?
60% chance
How many spacecraft will successfully make it to Mars during the 2028-29 Hohmann Transfer window?
Will the Martian Moons eXploration probe (MMX) reach Mars and be functional?
75% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2028?
8% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2040?
77% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?
47% chance
Will SpaceX successfully land a crewed mission on Mars by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2040?
46% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2040?
61% chance
Will SpaceX successfully conduct a crewed mission to Mars before 2035?
25% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout