For the positive resolution all 4 statements have to be true:
0) the team consists of at least 3 players.
1) the team holds the word "Manifold" in its name.
2) the team participated in 2 different events(tournaments) before the end of the year.
3) the team capitain confirms affiliation with Manifold Markets community.
The following scenarios are valid:
... if an existing team is bought and rebranded.
... if a new team is organised.
... if several manifold markets users decide to represent the manifold community.
It does not have to be initiated by manifold crew.
Any esport counts: csgo, valorant, rocket league, team fortress, raindow 6 siege, league of legends, dota 2, world of tanks etc.
Upd. 11.06.2024
For a tournament to be valid it has to contain only established teams, no randoms/nonames. For example, rocket league has daily online tournaments, where even solo players can participate and be distributed into incomplete team - this will not count as an event.
@KongoLandwalker Does forecasting count as an esport? Obviously we wouldn't count activity on Manifold itself, but there could be some other forecasting competition that the top people from Manifold compete in.
@TimothyJohnson5c16 there is nothing internally electronic in forecasting. You could forecast after reading paper news journals, and by writing your prediction by hand. Sudoku and chess can be played in computer, but that does not make them esports.
So forecasting is not an esport. And it does not fit into the line of the examples.
I think the idea in my first comment would be too meta if forecasting was an esport: the team makes predictions, and fans make predictions on the success of those predictions.