Will resolve 'yes' if @EliezerYudkowsky is institutionalized and blames it on AI. Bonus points if he somehow also relates it to the crucifixion. *no actual value*
Will resolve 'no' when AI "goes well".
Update 2025-06-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If AI demonstrably does not go well (i.e. humanity has clearly lost control) and alignment researchers are neutralized by means other than institutionalization or public excommunication, the market will resolve to No.
@rayman2000 Well, if AI demonsterably doesn’t go well (everyone clearly understands we have lost control) and the alignment researchers are neutralized by some means other than institutionalization or public excommunication, then this would resolve no.
@Krantz Going by title instead of description, good choice. (I think a better choice would be to have these things match up, but 🤷 )