Will Iran/proxies bomb major civilian infrastructure in Israel before October
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resolved Oct 1
Resolved
NO

Will Iran or one of it’s proxies (Hezbollah and others) successfully hit a major civilian infrastructure site on in israel before October?

Intercepted bombings won’t count. Israel’s economic waters also included.

Example of major civilian infrastructure: power station, gas rig, airport, seaport, water desalination plant, oil refinery, etc…

Middle EastIran🇮🇱 IsraelArab-Israeli Conflict🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict
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@traders Hebrew media reports an intercepted UAV aimed at the Karish ofshore gas rig.

can you define what is a "successful hit"? does it mean "hit at all" or "significantly damages it" or "successfully destroys it"?

If a power station is hit, but it's back to operation within 48h, was this a successful hit?

I’d say “significantly damages it”.

Once there’s a media report of the power station (or other site) being hit, the market will resolve as YES.

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