Will Eliezer Yudkowsky speak on TV in 2025?
12
Ṁ202
2026
76%
chance

This market resolves to YES if anyone can link to a video clip of Eliezer Yudkowsky speaking on TV (or video from a traditional news outlet) in 2025. The link may be posted in the comments or DM'd to me. [EDIT: the market will also resolve to YES if I can easily find strong evidence of such a TV appearance.]

The clip must show Yudkowsky speaking on a program aired by a platform that acts as a traditional publisher or broadcaster. Archival footage doesn't count; Yudkowsky must be newly recorded for the program in 2025. The program may have aired before this market was created.

This includes

  • national or international broadcast/cable television networks, such as ABC, CBS, NBC, FOX, PBS, CNN, MSNBC, Fox News, BBC, Sky News, CNBC, Bloomberg Television

  • features, films, or series produced or commissioned as an "Original" by a major subscription streaming service or film studio, such as Netflix Original Documentary, HBO Documentary Films (on Max), Apple TV+ Original, Amazon MGM Studios Original, PBS Frontline

  • official video content from a major news outlet: a New York Times video interview, a Wall Street Journal video feature, a Vox video explainer

This does not include

  • shows by "creators" with independent branding who are mostly not subject to the editorial oversight of an institution, such as the Lex Fridman Podcast, The Joe Rogan Experience

I reserve the right to arbitrate ambiguity, possibly resolving the market partially. I may be swayed by comments.

To my knowledge, Yudkowsky last appeared on TV in 2024 on PBS News Hour: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/as-artificial-intelligence-rapidly-advances-experts-debate-level-of-threat-to-humanity

  • Update 2025-08-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If no links are provided by the community, the creator will make a small effort to search for evidence of an appearance before resolving the market.

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Could this market resolve to NO if no link is posted or DM'd (despite an appearance)? More generally, how will resolution work in the absence of any links being posted or DM'd?

@FelixMaps In the absence of any links shared, I will make a small effort to try to find evidence that he has appeared on TV (probably asking an llm to search it up). Also open to other suggestions