Which of these "countries" will become a U.S. State first?
Which of these "countries" will become a U.S. State first?
Plus
6
แน12102029
1D
1W
1M
ALL
7%
Germany
6%
India
13%
UAE
7%
France
15%
Korea
52%
Since America is going to win AI, the world government, just like all your base, are belong to us, unless you get together and nuke us soon.
So which of today's countries listed above do you think will join the American-created global government first?
Get แน1,000 play money
What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEightโs performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with 
Sweepcash (๐) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Sweepcash (๐) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEightโs performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with Sweepcash (๐) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Sweepcash (๐) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.Related questions
What will be the next state to join the United States of America?
Will the next new USA state be one other than puerto rico or washington dc?
30% chance
What will the 51st state of the United States of America be?
Which US Territories will be a part of a US State by 2045?
Will the 51st state be admitted before the 51st president takes office?
25% chance
Will there be a 51st state in the USA before 2026?
1% chance
Will there be a new US State by 2055?
51% chance
Which country will be the next to become an official member state of the United Nations?
Which of these countries will be the first independent?
๐บ๐ธ Which state will be the next to install its first woman governor?