Will Manifold go bankrupt before 2030?
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Manifold is currently a tiny company with potential. What do you guys think?
Will resolve YES if Manifold publicly announces they are going bankrupt.
Will resolve NO if otherwise.
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Manifold will probably fail, but it's unlikely to formally declare bankruptcy.
It'd be more likely:
for people to leave to "pursue other interests"
to be bought for a paltry sum by Kalshi or Polymarket, just to remove a competitor
to get it running on a single server and for one of the founders to keep it in maintenance mode running cheaply forever
to close down the site and dissolve the company, without declaring bankruptcy
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