The resolve date is a placeholder. The market will resolve based on the majority of the answers I get when I ask any of those among {James, Stephen, Ian, other current Manifold leadership/major staff} who are still working at Manifold 6 months post-Great Pivot. If there is at most one such person remaining, the market will automatically resolve NO (because they all quit).

I resolve the right to make small reasonable edits to the wording of these resolve criteria should someone provide a better operationalization of the question or supply important information about MM's org chart that I've neglected.

• Update 2025-04-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Override Update

  • The market will now ignore the original process based on leadership responses.

  • In absence of additional answers, the outcome will be set to MKT, overriding the previous rule (which resolved to NO if at most one leadership member remained).