MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Shanghai be nuked in 2025?
Mini
13
แน€2055
2026
1.1%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves YES if the city of Shanghai suffers attack by nuclear weaponry in the year 2025, including by a non-national actor.

I'm putting this up as a market because it's something I had a dream about in roughly 2010.

๏ธ TechnologyWorld๏ธ WarsGeopolitics๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
Get แน€1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Which countries will detonate a nuclear weapon offensively in 2025?
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
12% chance
Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040?
19% chance
Will there be an offensive nuclear detonation in 2025?
2% chance
Will there be a nuclear explosion in USA in 2025?
2% chance
Will China test a nuclear weapon before the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
12% chance
Will any city get nuked before 2040?
17% chance
Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2025?
18% chance
If the US is nuked by 2050, which city will be nuked first?

Related questions

Which countries will detonate a nuclear weapon offensively in 2025?
Will China test a nuclear weapon before the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
12% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
12% chance
Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040?
19% chance
Will any city get nuked before 2040?
17% chance
Will there be an offensive nuclear detonation in 2025?
2% chance
Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2025?
18% chance
Will there be a nuclear explosion in USA in 2025?
2% chance
If the US is nuked by 2050, which city will be nuked first?
BrowseElectionNewsAbout