Resolution criteria
Resolve YES if Manchester United finish 1st–4th in the final official Premier League table for the 2025–26 season. Otherwise resolve NO. Use the Premier League’s final table and, if needed, cross-check with reliable season summaries: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024%E2%80%9325_Premier_League and https://www.si.com/soccer/2024-25-premier-league-final-standings-placings-points. (en.wikipedia.org, si.com)
If the league later amends standings (e.g., disciplinary points deductions) and updates its final table, resolve per the league’s final published table at the time of market close.
Background
The 2024–25 Premier League season ran Aug 16, 2024 – May 25, 2025. Top four were Liverpool, Arsenal, Manchester City, and Chelsea. Manchester United finished 15th with 42 points. https://www.si.com/soccer/2024-25-premier-league-final-standings-placings-points; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024%E2%80%9325_Manchester_United_F.C._season; https://www.theguardian.com/football/2025/may/26/manchester-united-christian-eriksen-lucky-relegation-premier-league. (si.com, en.wikipedia.org, theguardian.com)
Considerations
Premier League tiebreakers: points, then goal difference, then goals scored; if still level, head-to-head (then away goals in H2H), and in extreme cases a playoff. https://www.premierleague.com/news/4183163; https://www.nbcsports.com/soccer/news/premier-league-tiebreaker-rules-2024-goal-difference-head-to-head-record-how-it-works. (premierleague.com, nbcsports.com)
Champions League places in 2025–26 were five via league finish (plus Tottenham via Europa League), but this market is strictly “top 4,” independent of UCL qualification formats. https://www.si.com/soccer/2024-25-premier-league-final-standings-placings-points. (si.com)