Will I walk 5 million steps in 2024
24
Ṁ1574
Jan 1
42%
chance

I use a smart watch to count steps. Will I get to 5 million this year? I'm not neutral here, 5 million is my goal and I will take steps (pun intended) to achieve it.

Will post semi regular updates below

         Steps (k) Total steps (k)  Deficit (k) Month rate Cumm rate Rate needed
January       271.3             271         -153      64.1%     64.1%       64.1%
February      321.0             592         -228      81.0%     72.3%       78.4%
March         424.5           1,016         -227     100.3%     81.8%       95.1%
April         412.4           1,429         -224     100.6%     86.5%       94.9%
May           442.2           1,871         -205     104.4%     90.1%       97.9%
June          436.8           2,308         -178     106.6%     92.9%       99.6%
July          406.3           2,714         -195      96.0%     93.3%       89.6%
August        378.6           3,093         -240      89.4%     92.8%       81.8%
Deficit to catch up: -240k
Rate per day needed for rest of year: 15,626.5


Rate is relative to needed pace to achieve 5m by year's end

"Rate needed" is how much I would need to do until the end of the year to achieve the goal (given current deficit)

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July update

Still almost 200k steps behind the needed pace, but my new commute has an extra 2,000 steps per working day

April update (also updated description): still at pace, but barely made a dent in the deficit from early in the year (now at 223k steps)

March update. Crossed the 1 million mark + finally had a month at pace, but still a 226k accumulated deficit from Jan/Feb

Updated for mid-March. So far, this month is at pace, but still a deficit to catch up from Jan/Feb

Feb update @LuisPedroCoelho ?

@diadematus Updated. Better than January (which had a lot of travel), but still below pace

you will need to average a bit over 14K steps/day for the rest of the year to get to 5M (I can math), which would be ~2 hours per day (unless you will be running some of it). Do you know how much you walked last year?

@AlQuinn I do ~6k from commuting alone and most days I get to 9-10k without going out of my way at all (commute + other errands). I do run as well (the frequency of which I would like to increase)

I did almost exactly 4m in 2023 (4,005,510). That includes 3 weeks where I didn't measure (my old watch, which counts steps, broke, and since I was moving, I didn't immediately buy a new one—I would immediately buy a new one this year)

January was well below pace because of travel (both at the start with the summer holidays here in Australia and work travel later in the month)