I do not bet in markets I create. In the event that I am unable or unavailable to resolve the market, the market may be resolved by Manifold Mods. Any changes to the market description will be noted in the change log.

Economics US Economy Oregon Drugs Cannabis Marijuana Marijuana Sales

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ16
2		Ṁ6
3		Ṁ5
4		Ṁ5

3 Comments

Sort by:

reposted

@traders

June Sales: $79,982,565

July Sales: $82,186,495

Market resolves YES

bought Ṁ10 YES

Have you considered using the "Multiple Choice -> Any number of answers" type for these markets? It's a better bettor experience IMO.

@kenakofer - I considered it, but decided against it for a couple of reasons:

Market title was too confusing. Essentially, the question would be "which months will sell more weed in Oregon than the month prior?" which felt clunky and uninteresting.

Harder to run the prediction side of things. I'd have to change the market closing date each month if I wanted to preserve the prediction aspect. As binaries, I just set the closing date and forget about it until I have to resolve. (Would be cool if MC markets allowed me to set a closing date for each option)

Other traders have mentioned that binary markets (like this one) get more traction than if bundled in a MC market. Bundling them would be cheaper, but separating them into binaries seems to get more audience participation.

🏅 Top traders

Related questions

Related questions