Conditional on AGI being available by 2045, will Eliezer Yudkowsky be declared enemy #1 by the AI during the first 60 days? | Manifold

Conditional on AGI being available by 2045, will Eliezer Yudkowsky be declared enemy #1 by the AI during the first 60 days?

Plus

13

Ṁ1023

2046

7%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If by 2045 we have artificial general intelligence, this market resolves to YES if in the 60 days after that Eliezer Yudkowsky is non-ironically declared the enemy #1 by the AI.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

Sort by:

No, because regardless of what Eliezer says about the AI, I don't expect him to hold any sizeable power before 2045.

As the AGI will be smarter than you (no offence) how will you tell if it's being ironic?

@RobinGreen if it's a poe's law, I'll resolve to YES

I'm proud to hold some YES in this market

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2036?

Will we get AGI before 2044?

Will we get AGI before 2045?

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Will Eliezer Yudowsky become romantically involved with an AI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2046?

Will we get AGI before 2043?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get killed by an AI?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky work for any major AI-related entity by 2027?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky use AGI to figure out why he was wrong?

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2036?

Will we get AGI before 2046?

Will we get AGI before 2044?

Will we get AGI before 2043?

Will we get AGI before 2045?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get killed by an AI?

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky work for any major AI-related entity by 2027?

Will Eliezer Yudowsky become romantically involved with an AI before 2030?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky use AGI to figure out why he was wrong?