I looked at the hints a bit today and here are some threads that I find interesting. None of them is complete on its own but perhaps another set of eyes will like them:

• Santos as the energy company based in Adelaide (the Somerton from the Somerton Man is part of Adelaide)

• Santos as the port in Brazil

• Santos as 'Saints', religious figures

• Setúbal as the region rather than just the specific city, widening the horizon a bit. For example, some people have made guesses related to the port of Sines which is in the Setúbal region and also has energy ties...

• Generally it looks like herring is associated with places north of Portugal so think more about trading and sea things if you like to play the fishy water connections

• All the stuff related to coasts and ports can be related to things like sea trade, fishing, undersea cables, beaches, etc. -- there may be other items in this category that are relevant.

• Those three clues in square brackets, if you follow the IPA/phonetic thought line (specifically with one interpretation I found in the comment section, which may or may not be correct), result in upside down (rotated 180 degrees) letters, ɟ ɔ ɔ, which may warrant more investigation on their own rather than as sounds -- if he wanted to clue sounds, he could have just used the symbols instead.

@Eliza excellent sleuthing

If anyone wants to know the easiest way to check if your guess has already been used:

1. Open this link: https://api.manifold.markets/v0/comments?contractId=gPA029Rcyh

2. Search in the page for your term

3. Profit

/Eliza/if-bens-puzzle-is-solved-will-the-u

/Eliza/will-bens-puzzle-be-solved-less-tha

/jcb/on-what-days-will-ben-s-give-a-hint

/Eliza/will-manifold-solve-bens-puzzle

/NayutaIto/how-many-hints-will-be-given-in-ben

Here are some guesses that I think people should try. I don’t guarantee they haven’t been tried at the time you’re looking, nor do they all connect all the hints as neatly as I’d like. I will try to keep the list updated. Feel free to suggest guesses that others can use.

ANCHO

ARROW

BARCO

CABOT

COBRA

GUIDE

HYDRA

NATAL

PISCO

ROVER

@MachiNi NATAL

@AndrewKeen TRADE WAVES ANCHO

@AlvaLindqvist I think TRADE and WAVES have already been tried. I’ll add ANCHO.

@AlvaLindqvist TRADE may have been my first or second guess

What if someone is very confident they know the answer and want to wait for the market to go as low as possible before betting it up and giving the answer

@MaxE yes

@MaxE As we have seen in the comment section, most people who think they know the answer are completely wrong.

@Eliza just considering possibilities

This depends heavily on a lot of factors. It is absolutely possible but also I feel like someone could just as easily solve it before then.

@Eliza the best markets are nail biters. I hope this one will be.

@MachiNi I can't wait for the army of 5000 sock puppets to show up in the final six hours to spam tons of guesses.

@Eliza yes