Resolves as YES if the United States imposes a 10% tariff on goods from the UK before January 1st, 2026.
Criteria for Resolution:
Official Implementation: The tariff must be officially announced and implemented by the United States government before January 1st, 2026.
Tariff Rate: The tariff must be at least 10% on imported goods originating from the United Kingdom.
Scope of Goods: The tariff must apply to a significant portion of goods from the UK, defined as goods representing at least 80% of the total trade value between the U.S. and the UK.
Duration: Temporary tariffs lasting less than 30 consecutive days will not be considered. The tariff must be in effect for at least 30 consecutive days.
Verification: The imposition of the tariff must be reported by at least two reputable news sources or confirmed through official government publications.
Existing Tariffs: Increases to existing tariffs that raise the rate to 10% or more will be counted.
Exclusions: Tariffs that are proposed but not implemented, or tariffs below 10%, will not trigger a YES resolution. Mutual agreements leading to tariff reductions do not count.
Additional Information:
Resolution Sources: The final decision will be based on publicly available information from reputable sources such as official U.S. government announcements, the United Kingdom's official communications, and major international news outlets.
No Tariff by Deadline: If the specified conditions are not met by January 1st, 2026, this market will resolve as NO.
Questions in the same playlist:
/MalachiteEagle/will-the-us-impose-a-10-tariff-on-g
/MalachiteEagle/will-the-us-impose-a-10-tariff-on-g-IlCEqROtS5 (this question)