What portion of votes in the 2024 presidential election will not go to the Republican or Democratic party nominees?
12
แน277Nov 11
1D
1W
1M
ALL
43%
< 5%
36%
5-9.99%
12%
10-14.99%
5%
15-19.99%
3%
20%+
Several markets exist for the popular vote share for specific 3rd-party candidates, or for the single 3rd-party candidate with the most votes.
This market captures the total combined popular vote share of ALL candidates other than the Republican party candidate (presumptively Donald Trump) and Democratic party candidate (presumptively Joe Biden).
Where ".99" appears in the answers, this is shorthand for .99... repeating.
The close date of this market may be extended if vote shares are not clear by the weekend following the election - for example, if re-counts are credibly demanded, or if votes are still being counted and the vote shares are near any of the thresholds in the answers.
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Which party will win the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential election (by subgroup)?
What will voter turnout be in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
[OLD MECHANISM] What percentage of the electoral vote will each 2024 Presidential candidate receive?
Will the winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election be a Republican?
46% chance
If Biden is Not the Nominee, Which Party Will Receive More of the Popular Vote?
Will a single third party candidate receive 2% or more of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
12% chance
Which non-major candidate for US President will get the most votes in 2024?
Which states will vote for the same party in the 2024 United States Presidential Election?
What % of White women will vote for the Republican candidate in the 2024 US presidential election?
Will more than 200 people vote for the candidate who receives the fewest votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
47% chance