Who will Donald Trump pardon in his first 100 days?
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17
แน€1095
2025
75%
Any SPECIFIC Jan. 6th rioter (not en masse)
66%
Jan. 6th rioters en masse
62%
Ross Ulbricht
60%
Any directly-related family member
42%
Any war criminal
28%
Michael Avenatti
24%
Donald Trump
12%
Elon Musk

Who will trump pardon in the first 100 days of his presidency? Resolves based on https://www.justice.gov/pardon/clemency-recipients. A commutation gets 50%.

In the event that a pardon is issued for an individual not listed who is part of a group that is listed, that will resolve YES unless otherwise specified, as they've been pardoned.

All members of a group must be pardoned for a group to resolve YES. If it's obviously that group, but with a conditional tacked on (e.g., "all Jan. 6th rioters with low-level drug offenses"), it resolves to 50%, just like a commutation (as would a conditional tacked onto a commutation).

In the event that a pardon is blocked, overturned, overruled, nullified, or otherwise stopped from taking effect for any reason, it'll have no effect on the resolution of this question - it'll still resolve YES.

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Is he even allowed to pardon himself?

@quadruple We don't actually know! That'll be a question for the Supreme Court if he tries it - but if he tries it, even if it fails, I'm resolving it YES

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Well, it looks like Trump is going to be president again. What will he do in his first hundred days?