Perry has been making national news recently in his role as the head of the Freedom Caucus (and their role in the various recent political crises), in his alleged role in Trump's attempts to steal the 2020 election, and probably for other dumb stuff I forgot about. He also used to be my representative and I hate him. Will he get reelected? I may vote in this market.
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The last poll in PA-10 shows Stelson up a frankly shocking 9 points over Perry. But is it enough to push him out? 538's algorithm certainly doesn't think so โ It still has him at a comfortable 75% likelihood of winning. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/house/2024/pennsylvania/10/general/
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/house/pennsylvania-10/
Interesting development: There's now a lawsuit seeking to get him taken off the ballot for violating the insurrection clause. https://apnews.com/article/scott-perry-election-lawsuit-trump-jan-6-eecb31cae4ee3bb74d529e8513264bdb