Will the proposed voting changes on New Caledonia go through? (Sep 2024 limit)
Mini
5
Ṁ100Sep 30
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/15/world/asia/new-caledonia-france-macron.html
Resolves yes, if the proposed changes to voting (French citizens with long time residence on the island can vote) become law without major modifications by market close
Examples: changing the number of years of residence required to vote will still resolve YES. Adding a completely requirement that is not trivial (e.g., to own land) resolves NO.
I will not trade. Feel free to ask for clarifications.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will New Caledonia become independent of France before 2035?
32% chance
Will any part of French Polynesia be a sovereign state before 2040?
43% chance
Will any country use a new voting system for the 2029 EU election?
43% chance
Will there be an off-year snap election in New Zealand by 2040?
30% chance
Vote rigging scandal in UK, CA, Germany, Netherlands, Norway, DK, Sweden, Finland, or Ireland before 2027?
48% chance
Will Canadians be able to vote in American elections by mid 2029
85% chance
Will a vote to expand the LA County Board of Supervisors pass in 2024?
48% chance
Will a federal election be called in Canada before the end of 2024?
22% chance
Will French Polynesia become independent from France by the end of 2037?
22% chance
Will the California Remove Voter Approval Requirement for Public Low-Rent Housing Projects Amendment (2024) pass?
43% chance