When will Trump serve time?
When will Trump serve time?
πŸ’Ž
Premium
2.5k
αΉ€1.8m
2029
91%
Never
0%
2023 (NO)
0.1%
2024
0.5%
2025
0.1%
2026
0.1%
2027
0.1%
2028
4%
2029
4%
2030s
0.1%
2040s or later

Resolves based on day that his custodial sentence starts, or "never" if he dies without serving a custodial sentence. Markets close will be extended as needed.

What counts?

  • Prison, jail or house arrest pre-conviction does not, must be serving a sentence.

  • Prison, jail or house arrest post-conviction counts.

  • Community service, probation, and other non-custodial sentences do not count.

  • It does not count if he is pardoned or otherwise granted clemency before his imprisonment.

Get αΉ€1,000 play money


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@LuigiMangione could make 8 mana here, lol only

1mo

People still holding YES shares in 2023 and 2024!? Loans I guess.

1mo

@MartinRandall more like forgot about this market and now it's hardly wrth selling them

3mo

@MartinRandall why did it close?

3mo

This is a Trump death market at this point.

2mo

@JimAusman You really think he's going to serve time once he leaves the white house? he'd prob go to Russia before letting that happen

4mo

It'd be baller if he went into prison then pardoned himself and half the block with him,

4mo

@Anguss9lU he should wait until he's sentenced to death and about to be killed and then pardon himself and the two thieves being crucified on either side of him.

4mo

@MartinRandall If he's going that far, why not go all the way? As it stands, he's going to be a footnote in 2000 years but if he dies for our sins, we're talking immortality, infinite syndication for "The Apprentice", sky's the limit...

boughtαΉ€502040s or later YES
4mo

@Joshua yeah def gotta lock up the 95-yo... or the corpse.

reposted 4mo

This seems promising!

sold αΉ€1 2025 YES4mo

4mo

@snazzlePop perfectly fair though. Even Fareed Zakaria on CNN was calling out the insane lawfare against Trump as an own-goal and potential factor behind Trump's win

@snazzlePop what aint fair is having a trial in a city that 90% voted against you sending you to jail when the majority of American people want you as president.

@Riley12 Imagine the Joker running for president and how that might play out.

@Riley12 Fairness and justice are measured by societal cost. It's transparently quantifiable when you're dealing with dollar values.

4mo

@Riley12 Really depends on whether or not you committed a crime.

4mo

@Predictor Kamala just ran wym

4mo

@becauseyoudo I feel like this comment is trying to confuse me

4mo

@NBAP There's an argument to be made that every president committed a crime.

4mo

@Riley12 I mean, everyone has probably committed a crime at some point, not just presidents. I've jaywalked before. But not everyone has committed 34 felonies.

@Riley12 Fairness isn't just something people scream at their screens. All justice systems attempt to quantify and objectify fairness. You're suggesting that a conflict of interest should nullify the act of balancing the scales of justice and that fairness should instead be measured by the will of a single man. I'm saying I don't believe in kings.

5mo

Biden more likely to get locked up if Trump wins, due to treason at the border

5mo

@Yoae You should make a market for that. Let us know when you do.

5mo

@becauseyoudo good idea!

4mo
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