Will the Doomsday Clock be 60s (or less) to midnight by end of January 2026 | Manifold

Will the Doomsday Clock be 60s (or less) to midnight by end of January 2026

Plus

35

Ṁ4479

2026

58%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves "Yes" if the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists' Doomsday Clock at https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/ is set to 60s to midnight or less by the end of January 2026.

Will the doomsday clock advance towards midnight?

Nuclear Risk Doomsday Clock Doomsday

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

Sort by:

They can't think the world is getting worse and worse forever. Some day the current era of pessimism will end. I suspect once the Ukraine war is over they will put the clock back a little.

@justifieduseofFallibilism Will the Doomsday Clock reach 40 seconds by 2027?

bought Ṁ10 NO from 22% to 21%

predicts NO

@NickAllenc961 what do you mean?

@justifieduseofFallibilism If the Doomsday Clock were to reach a minute to midnight by 2026, the clock would be 40 seconds to midnight by 2027?

bought Ṁ10 NO at 21%

@justifieduseofFallibilism Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?

bought Ṁ12 NO at 22%

Related questions

Will the AI Safety Clock reach 22 minutes to midnight by April 2025?

-12% 1d33% chance

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 seconds to midnight by 2030?

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 40 seconds to midnight by 2028?

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 30 seconds to midnight by 2029?

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 5 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?

What time will Doomsday Clock be at in 2026? (Read the pinned comment for market rules.)

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?

What time at midnight will the Doomsday clock will be in 2026.

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?

Will the Doomsday Clock be forwarded or rewound in 2026? (Read the pinned comment.)

Related questions

Will the AI Safety Clock reach 22 minutes to midnight by April 2025?

What time will Doomsday Clock be at in 2026? (Read the pinned comment for market rules.)

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 seconds to midnight by 2030?

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 40 seconds to midnight by 2028?

What time at midnight will the Doomsday clock will be in 2026.

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 30 seconds to midnight by 2029?

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?

Will the Doomsday Clock reach 5 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?

Will the Doomsday Clock be forwarded or rewound in 2026? (Read the pinned comment.)