If Gwern is interviewed by Dwarkesh Patel in the next 6 months, which of the following phrases or words will he say?
7
Ṁ776
2025
79%
GANs
75%
Modafinil
63%
Prediction markets
57%
Nootropics
55%
Effective altruism
55%
Independently Wealthy
50%
Embryo selection
50%
Gwern.net
50%
Woke
48%
Sample Efficiency
45%
Quantified self
45%
Bitcoin
45%
Silk Road
45%
Bacopa
45%
World Model
41%
Spaced repetition
41%
Social Justice
41%
Trump
36%
Darknet markets
36%
Dual n-back

Resolution Criteria:

  1. This market will resolve based on the content of an interview between Dwarkesh Patel and Gwern, if it occurs before March 18, 2025.

  2. The market will resolve as "Yes" for each phrase or word that Gwern explicitly says during the interview.

  3. The market will resolve as "No" for options not mentioned.

  4. If no interview occurs by March 18, 2025, all options will resolve as "N/A".

  5. Resolution will be based on the published interview transcript or audio/video recording.

Closing Date: March 18, 2025, or when an interview is published, whichever comes first.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions