Will GPT-4.5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?

Is there a genetic contribution of at least 50% to the black/white IQ gap in 2023? [Resolves to the popular consensus in 2060]

Will a genius grant be awarded to someone acknowledged to be the result of genetic IQ selection before 2055

More than 5% of children in the US born from embryos with polygenic risk assessments by 2040?

Will a GWAS be broadly cited by hereditarians as strong evidence for a > 40% heritability of cognitive ability by 2035?

Will GPT-5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?

Will the average IQ/intelligence of manifold users in 2025 be lower than that of 2023?

When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?

Humanity's Last Exam score in 2025?

Will GPT-5 have an estimated IQ higher than 101?