US Recession before 2024? (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
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Plus
23
Ṁ8054
2026
1.1%
chance
Get Ṁ1,000 play money


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bought Ṁ1,000 NO1mo

@dglid wow, why was this at 50% until just now? Am I missing something on the structure of this conditional market?

1mo

@bens like, there's no way for this to resolve YES, correct? It either resolves NO or gets N/A'ed if it turns out there was a recession in 2024 (unlikely)

1mo

@bens that’s correct

1y

Extending close date to match Metaculus resolution date