Will SpaceX's HLS uncrewed demo launch before 2026?
19
Ṁ18852026
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Takeoff counts as a launch.
Currently scheduled for 2024 according to NASA's timeline.
/Sailfish/will-spacexs-hls-lander-launch-by-2
/Mqrius/will-spacexs-hls-uncrewed-demo-laun
/Mqrius/will-spacexs-hls-uncrewed-demo-laun-267f101c256c
See also:
Artemis 2 timeline: /Mqrius/will-artemis-ii-launch-before-2026
Artemis 3 timeline: /Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
I'm removing the part of the criteria that says "Release of the launch clamps after ignition counts as a launch."
Reason for this is that the launch clamps apparently open well before the launch, and Starship is basically freestanding for a while, and they can still scrub from that state. Launch will now be actual takeoff unless we find a better point to hinge the market on.
Related questions
Related questions
Will SpaceX's HLS uncrewed demo launch before 2027?
59% chance
Will SpaceX land a Super Heavy booster, as part of a space-bound flight, in 2024?
34% chance
Will SpaceX perform at least 144 successful orbital launches in the year 2024?
14% chance
Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?
43% chance
Will SpaceX launch a mission to Hubble before 2026
21% chance
Will SpaceX launch a reused Super Heavy rocket booster successfully by the end of 2025?
41% chance
Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?
20% chance
Will SpaceX put their HLS lander on the Moon by end of 2025?
12% chance
Will the first Starships to Mars launch before 2027?
28% chance
Will Haven-1 launch in 2026 or earlier?
60% chance