On resolution, will I think that Strong Minds analysis of their work is correct? 10% chance to resolve each year | Manifold

On resolution, will I think that Strong Minds analysis of their work is correct? 10% chance to resolve each year

Mini

10

Ṁ430

Dec 31

12%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves to my credence that their studies show what they claim to. 10% chance to resolve each new year.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

Sort by:

I think that, if you found out that I'd spent a decent amount of time evaluating their research, you'd be pretty likely to ask me for a take before resolving.

I spent a decent amount of time evaluating their research in early 2021.

I just bought 'no'.

@AlexL Bought accordingly

On resolution, will I think that Strong Minds analysis of their work is correct? 10% chance to resolve each year, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

Related questions

On resolution, will I think cash transfers to poor people have significant long-term improvements in Subjective Well Being? 10% chance to resolve each year

At close, what % of the Manifold users will think that GiveWell's work before 2023 was net positive? Resolves in 100 years, but has .1% chance to resolve each year. Vote Yes to increase %.

This market resolves NO in a year.

One year from now, will the percentage that this question resolves YES (as shown by Manifold) be above 50%?

Will this [Major Market] Resolve YES? (gauging resolve NA or %'s probability)

This market resolves NO in a year.

Will any of these "should-be-0%" market resolve Yes?

This question will resolve based on the time at resolution.

Related questions

On resolution, will I think cash transfers to poor people have significant long-term improvements in Subjective Well Being? 10% chance to resolve each year

Will this [Major Market] Resolve YES? (gauging resolve NA or %'s probability)

At close, what % of the Manifold users will think that GiveWell's work before 2023 was net positive? Resolves in 100 years, but has .1% chance to resolve each year. Vote Yes to increase %.

This market resolves NO in a year.

This market resolves NO in a year.

Will any of these "should-be-0%" market resolve Yes?

One year from now, will the percentage that this question resolves YES (as shown by Manifold) be above 50%?

This question will resolve based on the time at resolution.