Ukraine warcasting megamarket
Plus
139
Ṁ51kJan 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
96%
Will Putin be in power 2025 Jan 1st?
93%
Will Zelensky be in power 2025 Jan 1st?
60%
Will Putin be in power 2028 Jan 1st?
48%
Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2026 (lasts for at least 1 year)
46%
Will Trump be in power 2026 Jan 1st?
38%
Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2025 (lasts for at least 1 year)
30%
Will Zelensky be in power 2028 Jan 1st?
27%
Will a successful coup happen in Russia before the peace is established?
26%
Will a successful coup happen in Ukraine before the peace is established?
19%
Will Russia or Ukraine gain control over a new city of 250k population by EOY 2024
19%
>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2026
16%
Russian nuke which causes more than 10 civilian deaths, by 2030
16%
Nuclear weapon launch aimed in such a way that it causes fewer than 10 civilian deaths (eg stratosphere, battlefield, over ocean) before 2030 by Russia
11%
Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2024 (lasts for at least 1 year)
8%
>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2024
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