In 2024, will at least 100 US military personnel be killed by enemy action in the Middle East?
17
Ṁ823Jan 2
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will resolve YES if, as of January 1, 2025, major news sources have reported at least 100 deaths of US military personnel (soldiers/sailors/similar) killed by enemy action in Middle Eastern conflict of all types-- so the recent deaths of 3 soldiers in a drone strike in Jordan very much counts.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will more than 1000 people die in a conflict between Israel and Hezbollah/Lebanon during 2024?
71% chance
Will another serviceman (US Active military) be killed in 2024
63% chance
Will a single shooting incident kill at least 20 people in the US during 2024?
27% chance
Will the US have 200,000 overseas active-duty military personnel before 2030?
59% chance
Will there be a mass shooting with more than 20 fatalities in the US in 2024?
25% chance
Will more than 5000 people die in a conflict between Israel and Hezbollah/Lebanon during 2024?
24% chance
Will The US be at at war with another country by the end of 2024?
14% chance
Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?
79% chance
Between Oct 1 2024 and Apr 1 2025, will US-election-related violence kill at least 100 Americans?
13% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2026?
25% chance