A full world government will develop before human-level AGI
Mini
5
Ṁ2032999
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Copied over from Elicit
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2030?
51% chance
Will we get AGI before 2037?
79% chance
Will we get AGI before 2036?
76% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
67% chance
A government will build the first human-level AGI, assuming humans build one at all
24% chance
Will we get AGI before 2046?
85% chance
Will we get AGI before 2045?
85% chance
Will we get AGI before 2044?
84% chance
Will we get AGI before 2043?
83% chance
Once AI can predict the future better than any human it will be AGI
70% chance