A government will build the first human-level AGI, assuming humans build one at all

Conditional on a government building the first human-level AGI, it will be the USA (rather than China, etc.)

Will we get AGI before WW3?

Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured?

When artificial general intelligence (AGI) exists, what will be true?

Once AI can predict the future better than any human it will be AGI

Conditional on AGI taking over the world, what will it do to the humans?

Will a humanoid AGI be used in a public setting by the end of 2025?

Will a misaligned AGI take over the world?

By when will we have AGI?