If Zack Polanski becomes leader of the Green Party (UK), how many Labour MPs will defect to the Greens?
22
แน73742026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0.2%
Polanski does not become Green Party leader.
69%
0 defections
25%
1 defection
4%
2-5 defections
1.4%
6-10 defections
0.3%
11+ defections
Inspired by this tweet. How many current Labour MPs (current = holds the labour whip as-at market creation on 3rd June 2025) will instead be listed as Green on Parliament's Find MPs page at market close?
Resolves "Polanski does not become Green Party leader" if Polanski does not win the 2025 leadership election.
Get แน1,000 play money
Sort by:
@dorothydomer unfortunately this type of market doesn't allow resolving some options but not others. It's a feature I'd love them to implement though! There's lots of "what date will X happen" markets that still have 2024 or even 2023 as an option.