Will Germany take on new debt in any way, shape, or form in order to create the 2025 budget?
Mini
5
Ṁ400resolved Apr 2
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question will resolve yes if any form of debt (whether it‘s a Sondervermögen, Notlage, or anything else) is taken on in order to put up a national budget for 2025.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ56 | |
2 | Ṁ29 | |
3 | Ṁ13 | |
4 | Ṁ9 |
Sort by:
The debt brake is enshrined in Articles 109 and 115 of the German Basic Law. It provides for a structural and a cyclical component. The structural component limits the Federal Government's ability to incur new debt to 0.35% of nominal gross domestic product per year.
I assume you talk about debt above what the debt brake (Schuldenbremse) allows? Otherwise it is a certain YES.
As a followup: The output gap calculation method (EU-CAM, Potenzialschätzung) could be adapted to allow for a lot more debt while adhering to the debt brake. How would that resolve?
Related questions
Related questions
Can Germany freeze AfD funding before August 2025?
2% chance
Will the German parliament reform the Schuldenbremse until 2026
95% chance
What will Germany's defense budget be for 2025? (excluding Zeitenwende!)
Will Deutsche Bank AG be bailed out by the German government before 2026?
3% chance
Will Germany pass a law introducing conscription for 18 year olds by the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will Germany‘s economy (real GDP) grow in 2025?
71% chance
Will Germany become more authoritarian in 2025?
56% chance
Will the German economy achieve 0.5% real GDP growth in 2025?
28% chance
Will the German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ) exist at EOY 2025?
95% chance
Germany submits motion to exclude AfD from state funding in 2025
24% chance