Will Trump pardon Elon Musk ?
➕
Plus
67
Ṁ29k
2029
10%
chance

Will resolve according to Wikipedia (will disregard obvious troll edits). Basically if Musk ever legitimately appears in that wikipedia list this resolves YES.

TrumpElon muskRepublican PartyTrump's Second TermPardon Markets
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bought Ṁ2,500 NO

No chance in hell

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1930703865801810022

it's

P(Trump doesn't die during the term) x P(vance loses election) x P(Dems don't moderate significantly) x P(there is no MAGA coup)

i.e.

0.9 x 0.45 x 0.75 x 1 = 0.3

I was foolish to buy yes so high.

@skibidist but if Dems moderate then Vance is less likely to win?

@HaroldDiaz lol

bought Ṁ5 YES

https://www.reuters.com/technology/sec-reopens-probe-into-elon-musks-neuralink-2024-12-13/

Context? Pardon Musk for what?

bought Ṁ250 NO

@AlexBokov I think it's just lib fantasies jumping the shark

@AlexBokov For anything

bought Ṁ150 NO

@AlexBokov for all crimes committed on the day of The Purge.

@AlexBokov These days presidents are handing out pardons to people who haven't been convicted. It's a new world where a presidential pardon is the US equivalent of being knighted.

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