Which party will the German Chancellor belong to after the next elections?
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25
Ṁ8249resolved May 6
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%99.0%
CDU
0.1%Other
0.2%
The Greens (Bündnis 90/Die Grünen)
0.5%
SPD
0.2%
CSU
0.0%
AfD
The next federal election in Germany will presumably take place in the fall of 2025. Which party will the Chancellor belong to, once a government is formed?
UPD: I will treat CDU and CSU as separate parties for the resolution of this question.
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What if the SPD and Greens formed some alliance when negotiating a coalition with CDU/CSU? Then the next chancellor's party heavily depends on the question if SPD and Greens combined get more seats than CDU/CSU! See this market for some probabilities.
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