What will the tipping-point state be in the 2024 POTUS election?
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Nov 5
35%
Pennsylvania
16%
Michigan
12%
North Carolina
12%
Wisconsin
9%
Georgia
8%
Arizona
8%
Nevada

"The tipping-point state is the first state that gives the winning candidate a majority of electoral votes, thereby securing the candidate's victory in the Electoral College, when all states are arranged in decreasing order of their vote margins for the ultimate winner."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tipping-point_state

Resolves as ambiguous if the election goes to the House because no candidate has a majority in the Electoral College. Margin is determined by percentage, not absolute vote count.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 2024 US Presidential ElectionElection margins
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Made a version of this with the new market type

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There won't be one because Trump is going to have a Barry Goldwater performance and win 8-10 states max. So CaliThe GOP is insane to nominate someone who got CRUSHED as the incumbent.

This amounts to "which state will have the median (by margin) electoral vote", right?

@StevenK I donโ€™t think so because states have unequal elector numbers

@Radicalia Right, I meant the median elector, not the median state.

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