Is Kilmar Abrego Garcia a member of MS-13? [resolves to poll]
6%
chance

On November 1 in my time zone, I will create a poll lasting a ~week with this title and the following answers:

Is Kilmar Abrego Garcia a member of MS-13?

  • Yes

  • No

  • Unsure/see results

If there are more YES votes than NO votes, this market resolves YES. (A tie resolves NO.)

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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bought Ṁ10 NO

If they had any decent evidence he was they would have absolutely shared it by now. The absence of evidence is evidence of absence

bought Ṁ30 NO from 9% to 8%