The Political Fate of Elon
๐Ÿ’Ž
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46
แน€33k
2026
18%
Pay >$50m in fines/settlements if Reps win
4%
Convicted of felony if Reps win
4%
X shut down/sold if Reps win

What will be the personal or financial repercussions of the 2024 Presidential Election to Elon Musk in 2025?

The above are a set of conditional markets on various actions that happen to either Elon Musk personally or any of his affiliated companies (SpaceX, Tesla, Neuralink, etc.) in 2025 as a result of which party wins the presidency in the upcoming election.

Suggest more ideas in the comments!

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US PoliticsElon muskTesla๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 2024 US Presidential ElectionTech Celeb Gossip
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bought แน€1,000 Pay >$50m in fines/s... NO

I have no idea why the feds would bother to fine Elon. It's more likely to be state AGs.

add "Gets deportedโ€ ๐Ÿ’€

He is a US citizen, so he can't legally be deported. I suppose they could change the laws, but that seems quite unlikely.

Can you elaborate on the answers about fines? Are these fines specifically related to the election (e.g FEC or similar)? Are they any fines levied by the US government for any reason (e.g parking tickets)? Fines levied by any governmental entity whatsoever (e.g the Brazil stuff)?

@MattP Any fines from any government. Any settlements from any lawsuit (including class action lawsuits).

"No repercussions" for each conditional if D/R win

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