Will I think OpenAI's first hardware product is a flop?
26
Ṁ19632027
62%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Examples of flops: Humane AI pin, Rabbit R1, Google Glass.
Resolves N/A if no hardware product before 2028.
Update 2025-05-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated they are intentionally not defining "flop" further. Resolution will be based on their subjective judgment, using the standard of "I'll know it when I see it".
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What are you defining as a flop? If it sells well but the device is crap is it a flop? Alternatively if it doesn’t sell well but the device is great is it a flop?
@RKCarn I am intentionally not defining a flop. I'll know it when I see it... (If I had a tighter operationalization for this question, I would have just used that.)
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