Will there be a banking crisis in the United States before the midterms?
12
แน1871Oct 5
28%
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resolves according to this page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_banking_crises
market closes oct 2025 but could resolve as late as nov 2026
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Chance of a recession this year is up to 37% on Polymarket. The 2023 banking crisis occurred in a year with 2.5% GDP growth.
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