This is a derivative conditional market, conditional on the Manifold main election Sweepstakes market:
The second question being, also the Sweepstakes version of:
Only one of the conditional options will resolve, whilst the other will be N/A.
Edit: The 'Election riots resolves first' option resolves YES/NO irrespective of who wins. If this option resolves YES, then both conditional options get N/A.
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@mods I would like to N/A the option "Kamala wins -> election riots" but I get the following error: "APIError: Negative payouts too large for resolution. Contact admin or mod."
Only one of the options will resolve, whilst the other two will be N/A.
Does this mean that “Election riots resolves first” can only resolve to YES (or be N/A), never to NO?
@santiago Thank you for pointing that out, didn't fully think it through whilst writing. See the edit.